Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.324690 0.377741 0.433640 0.496642 0.565392 0.637867 0.719773
2025-01-19 0.254516 0.327913 0.410151 0.507971 0.620022 0.743308 0.888149
2025-01-26 0.206668 0.293376 0.396174 0.524306 0.677092 0.850993 1.061439
2025-02-02 0.170211 0.265626 0.384953 0.540077 0.731559 0.955732 1.233580
2025-02-09 0.134426 0.232333 0.361793 0.537267 0.761141 1.030162 1.370860
2025-02-16 0.110787 0.211036 0.350574 0.546775 0.804200 1.120256 1.527538
2025-02-23 0.088230 0.187035 0.332270 0.544229 0.830077 1.188325 1.657571
2025-03-02 0.065416 0.157892 0.302746 0.523071 0.829084 1.220939 1.742860
2025-03-09 0.053478 0.144205 0.293926 0.529132 0.863178 1.297792 1.883751
2025-03-16 0.040594 0.125679 0.275116 0.518697 0.873298 1.342693 1.983837
2025-03-23 0.035442 0.121027 0.277859 0.539741 0.927035 1.445285 2.158882
2025-03-30 0.028128 0.109839 0.268177 0.540782 0.951882 1.509297 2.284319
2025-04-06 0.021935 0.099517 0.259075 0.542492 0.978277 1.576845 2.416947
2025-04-13 0.018050 0.093676 0.257317 0.555522 1.021233 1.667462 2.581146
2025-04-20 0.015241 0.089800 0.258704 0.573443 1.071559 1.768736 2.760540
2025-04-27 0.012772 0.085997 0.259709 0.590519 1.120778 1.869023 2.939653
2025-05-04 0.009327 0.077218 0.249494 0.587739 1.139500 1.926763 3.062043
2025-05-11 0.007330 0.072489 0.247042 0.597941 1.177982 2.012482 3.222853
2025-05-18 0.005117 0.065125 0.237758 0.595306 1.196124 2.069318 3.344725
2025-05-25 0.002807 0.054199 0.218392 0.572890 1.181988 2.079268 3.402055
2025-06-01 0.001937 0.050227 0.214917 0.579345 1.213610 2.155189 3.550561
2025-06-08 0.000995 0.043309 0.202705 0.568278 1.216283 2.188727 3.640386
2025-06-15 0.000787 0.042909 0.207696 0.590624 1.273877 2.303181 3.843694